Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Analysts suggest investment bank writedowns of more than $10 billion are coming soon

NEW YORK - Wall Street turned on itself Friday, as one widely watched analyst said investment banks face $10 billion or more in writedowns this quarter from bad mortgage debt, and another downgraded much of the banking sector on similar fears.

Shares of Merrill Lynch fell almost 8 percent, touching their lowest point since early 2005. Other investment banks fell substantially as well.

The downgrades and the commentary renewed fears of a repeat of August, when stocks sank, credit markets locked up and banks slashed the value of their investment portfolios. Standard & Poor's equity analysts suggested even the banks with the best risk controls will still struggle through the current market.

Deutsche Bank analyst Mike Mayo predicted late Thursday night that the investment banks will need to take another $10 billion in writedowns in the fourth quarter, with hits of $4 billion each at Citigroup and Merrill Lynch and a total of $2 billion at places like Wachovia and Bank of America.


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